Scam Sniffer 2025: Crypto Phishing Losses Fall 83% to $84 Million

This report analyzes the latest trends in Wallet Drainer phishing attacks across the EVM ecosystem, providing insights for industry practitioners and users to better protect their assets.


TL;DR

  • Total losses: $83.85M across 106,106 victims — down 83% and 68% respectively from 2024
  • Largest single theft: $6.5M via Permit signature (September)
  • Dominant signature type: Permit remained primary; EIP-7702 malicious signatures emerged after the Pectra upgrade, with 2 large cases in August

Big Picture

2025 saw signature phishing losses plunge from $494M to $83.85M — but the threat didn’t disappear. Losses fluctuated with market cycles.

Market correlation: Phishing losses tracked closely with market activity. Q3 saw both the strongest ETH rally and the highest phishing losses ($31M). When markets are active, overall user activity increases, and a percentage fall victim — phishing operates as a probability function of user activity.

  • Observed: Monthly losses ranged from $2.04M (December) to $12.17M (August), correlating with market cycles.
  • Q3 peak: August-September accounted for 29% of yearly losses during the market’s most active period.
  • Q4 decline: As markets cooled, losses fell to $13M — the quietest quarter.

Overview

Definitions

  • Wallet Drainer: Phishing infrastructure deployed on malicious websites that induces users to sign harmful transactions, enabling rapid asset extraction.
  • Signature Phishing: Attacks that trick victims into signing malicious transactions (approve, permit, setApprovalForAll, etc.) through phishing websites.

Methodology

  • Scope: EVM-compatible chains
  • Coverage: Wallet drainer attacks via phishing websites only; excludes direct hacks, exchange compromises, smart contract exploits, and other theft vectors
  • Valuation: USD value at time of theft
  • Limitations: Lower bound estimate; based on trackable drainer activity only; unreported incidents not captured

Key Data Comparison

Indicator202520242023YoY Change
Total Loss$83.85M$494M$295M-83.0%
Victims106,106332,000324,000-68.0%
Largest Single Theft$6.5M$55.48M$24.05M-88.3%
Large Cases (≥$1M)113013-63.3%

Loss Analysis

Monthly Breakdown

MonthLossesVictimsMoM Change
Jan$10.25M9,220-56%
Feb$5.32M7,442-48%
Mar$6.37M5,992+20%
Apr$5.29M7,565-17%
May$9.69M7,547+83%
Jun$2.80M5,862-71%
Jul$7.09M9,143+153%
Aug$12.17M15,230+72%
Sep$11.78M15,513-3%
Oct$3.28M10,935-72%
Nov$7.77M6,344+137%
Dec$2.04M5,313-74%

Quarterly Summary

QuarterLossesVictimsAvg Loss/VictimMarket
Q1$21.94M22,654$969Declining
Q2$17.78M20,974$848Recovering
Q3$31.04M39,886$778Strong rally
Q4$13.09M22,592$580Cooling off

Key Observations

  1. Market-Loss Correlation: Q3’s highest losses ($31M) coincided with ETH’s strongest rally. More market activity = more potential victims.
  2. November Anomaly: Losses surged 137% while victims dropped 42%, with average loss per victim rising to $1,225 — a monthly fluctuation rather than a confirmed trend.
  3. December Cool-off: Lowest month ($2.04M) as market activity declined year-end.

Major Theft Analysis

Cases Exceeding $1M

AmountAssetDateSignature Type
$6.50MstETH, aEthWBTCSepPermit
$3.13MWBTCMayincreaseApproval
$3.05MaEthUSDTAugTransfer
$1.82McUSDCv3MarTransfer
$1.54MMultipleAugEIP-7702 batch
$1.43MMultipleAprApprove
$1.23MUniswap V3 NFTsJulsetApprovalForAll
$1.22MaPlaUSDT0NovPermit
$1.06MsUSDf, USDeJulApprove
$1.00MMultipleAugEIP-7702 batch
$1.00MRLBJanUniswap Permit2

Total large-case losses: $22.98M (27% of yearly total)

Signature Type Distribution (from >$1M cases)

TypeCasesTotal Loss
Permit / Permit23$8.72M
Transfer2$4.87M
Approve / increaseApproval3$5.62M
EIP-7702 batch2$2.54M
setApprovalForAll1$1.23M

Attack Trends

  1. EIP-7702 Exploitation: Emerged shortly after the Pectra upgrade, with attackers leveraging account abstraction to bundle multiple malicious operations into single signatures. August saw the largest cases ($2.54M from 2 incidents).
  2. Large Cases Concentrated in Q3: 6 of 11 large cases (≥$1M) occurred in July-September, correlating with peak market activity.
  3. Permit Dominance: Permit/Permit2 signatures accounted for 38% of large-case losses.

Comparison: 2023 → 2024 → 2025

Aspect202320242025
Total Loss$295M$494M (+67%)$83.85M (-83%)
Victims324K332K (+3%)106K (-68%)
Avg Loss/Victim$910$1,488$790
Dominant Signature TypePermit/ApprovePermit/setOwnerPermit
Major DrainersInferno, MS, PinkInferno, AngelNew drainers emerged

Beyond Signature Phishing

While this report focuses on wallet drainer attacks, the broader threat landscape includes:

  • Bybit Incident (Feb, $1.46B): Lazarus compromised a Safe{Wallet} developer machine, injecting malicious code that spoofed the multisig signing interface — 17x the year’s total signature phishing losses
  • Supply Chain Attacks: npm publish credentials stolen via phishing, enabling attackers to inject malicious code into open-source packages; self-replicating worms backdoored hundreds of packages, exfiltrating environment variables and credentials
  • Frontend Compromises: Malicious transaction requests injected into legitimate platform interfaces
  • Social Media Hijacks: Project X accounts compromised to post phishing links
  • Malware & Info Stealers: Fake verification pages, malicious Telegram bots, DPRK IT worker infiltration — targeting private keys and credentials

Outlook

Lower losses ≠ gone threats.

  • If markets are active, phishing activity may rise with them — wallet security integration and user education remain critical defenses.
  • The decline in trackable losses may partly reflect a shift toward harder-to-track attack vectors — private key compromises and targeted social engineering are not captured in drainer statistics.
  • The threat landscape is bifurcating: mass phishing for retail users vs. sophisticated supply chain/APT attacks for high-value targets.
  • The drainer ecosystem remains active — as old drainers exit, new ones emerge to fill the gap.

The numbers change. The threat persists. Stay vigilant.


Scam Sniffer Research | December 2025

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